Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered

Apple Inc. (AAPL)

$460.04

8 (+1.77%)

Operating Data

Year A/P	2013 Actual	2014 Actual	2015 Actual	2016 Actual	2017 Actual	2018 Actual	2019 Actual	2020 Projected	2021 Projected	2022 Projected	2023 Projected
Revenue	170,910.00	182,788.25	233,713.05	215,647.03	229,232.79	265,589.12	260,171.10	280,646.56	302,733.45	326,558.57	352,258.73
Revenue (%)
EBITDA	57,049.76	61,818.98	84,510.64	73,341.56	76,563.75	87,033.55	81,849.83	94,213.05	101,627.62	109,625.71	118,253.26
EBITDA (%)
EBIT	50,298.81	53,867.70	73,245.67	62,839.54	66,408.74	76,117.84	69,309.58	81,640.09	88,065.16	94,995.89	102,472.06
EBIT (%)
Depreciation	6,750.94	7,951.29	11,264.97	10,502.01	10,155.01	10,915.71	12,540.25	12,572.97	13,562.46	14,629.82	15,781.19
Depreciation (%)

Balance Sheet Data

Year A/P	2013 Projected	2014 Projected	2015 Projected	2016 Projected	2017 Projected	2018 Projected	2019 Projected	2020 Projected	2021 Projected	2022 Projected	2023 Projected
Total Cash	40,539.85	25,078.55	41,600.92	67,152.49	74,179.73	66,291.04	100,556.13	73,108.43	78,862.06	85,068.51	91,763.40
Total Cash (%)
Account Receivables	13,108.80	17,456.28	16,850.71	15,763.80	17,880.16	23,185.93	22,921.07	22,872.69	24,672.78	26,614.52	28,709.09
Account Receivables (%)
Inventories	1,760.37	2,102.06	2,360.50	2,134.91	4,859.74	3,957.28	4,110.70	3,760.66	4,056.63	4,375.88	4,720.27
Inventories (%)
Accounts Payable	22,372.12	30,196.62	35,501.01	37,285.37	44,241.93	55,879.95	46,232.40	48,187.01	51,979.33	56,070.11	60,482.82
Accounts Payable (%)
Capital Expenditure	-9,075.32	-9,815.73	-11,498.68	-12,744.74	-12,447.34	-13,306.01	-10,484.90	-14,425.23	-15,560.50	-16,785.11	-18,106.10
Capital Expenditure (%)

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price	$ 460.04
Diluted Shares Outstanding	4,648.91
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate	15.94
After-tax Cost of Debt	4.20%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity	12.24
Total Debt	108,047.00
Total Equity	2,138,685.94
Total Capital	2,230,492.94
Debt Weighting	4.12
Equity Weighting	95.88
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash

Year A/P	2013 Actual	2014 Actual	2015 Actual	2016 Actual	2017 Actual	2018 Actual	2019 Actual	2020 Projected	2021 Projected	2022 Projected	2023 Projected
Revenue	170,910.00	182,788.25	233,713.05	215,647.03	229,232.79	265,589.12	260,171.10	280,646.56	302,733.45	326,558.57	352,258.73
EBITDA	57,049.76	61,818.98	84,510.64	73,341.56	76,563.75	87,033.55	81,849.83	94,213.05	101,627.62	109,625.71	118,253.26
EBIT	50,298.81	53,867.70	73,245.67	62,839.54	66,408.74	76,117.84	69,309.58	81,640.09	88,065.16	94,995.89	102,472.06
Tax Rate	26.15%	26.13%	26.37%	25.56%	24.56%	18.34%	15.94%	23.29%	23.29%	23.29%	23.29%
EBIAT	37,143.20	39,794.19	53,932.00	46,779.48	50,101.09	62,156.17	58,258.97	62,623.89	67,552.39	72,868.76	78,603.53
Depreciation	6,750.94	7,951.29	11,264.97	10,502.01	10,155.01	10,915.71	12,540.25	12,572.97	13,562.46	14,629.82	15,781.19
Accounts Receivable	-	-4,347.48	605.57	1,086.91	-2,116.36	-5,305.77	264.86	48.38	-1,800.08	-1,941.75	-2,094.56
Inventories	-	-341.69	-258.44	225.60	-2,724.83	902.46	-153.43	350.04	-295.96	-319.26	-344.38
Accounts Payable	-	7,824.50	5,304.39	1,784.36	6,956.56	11,638.02	-9,647.55	1,954.61	3,792.32	4,090.77	4,412.72
Capital Expenditure	-	740.41	1,682.95	1,246.06	-297.40	858.67	-2,821.12	3,940.34	1,135.27	1,224.61	1,320.99
UFCF	43,894.14	51,621.21	72,531.45	61,624.42	62,074.08	81,165.26	58,441.99	81,490.22	83,946.38	90,552.96	97,679.48
WACC
PV UFCF								72,817.64	67,029.22	64,609.44	62,277.01
SUM PV UFCF											396,088.61

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%)	11.91
Free cash flow (t + 1)	101,586.66
Terminal Value	1,284,281.42
Present Value of Terminal Value	731,670.79

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value	1,127,759.40
Net Debt	59,203.00
Equity Value	1,068,556.40
Shares Outstanding	4,648.91
Equity Value Per Share	229.85

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