Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered

Image Sensing Systems Inc (ISNS)

$ 7.35
0.74 (+11.20%)

Operating Data

Year
A/P
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Actual
2016
Actual
2017
Actual
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Projected
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
Revenue 26.2923.0515.2214.1414.5214.5614.7313.1712.0511.0210.089.228.43
Revenue (%)
EBITDA -10.42-6.600.951.202.702.772.631.570.210.190.170.160.15
EBITDA (%)
EBIT -12.64-8.690.200.812.1221.830.61-0.50-0.46-0.42-0.38-0.35
EBIT (%)
Depreciation 2.232.090.750.390.580.770.800.960.710.650.600.540.50
Depreciation (%)

Balance Sheet Data

Year
A/P
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Actual
2016
Actual
2017
Actual
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Projected
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
Total Cash 6.202.662.651.553.194.245.128.603.232.962.702.472.26
Total Cash (%)
Account Receivables 5.254.223.063.013.343.833.132.262.522.312.111.931.76
Account Receivables (%)
Inventories 3.592.230.650.140.331.290.780.770.770.700.640.590.54
Inventories (%)
Accounts Payable 2.413.311.520.260.560.880.370.550.780.720.650.600.55
Accounts Payable (%)
Capital Expenditure -1.09-0.50-1.36-1.84-1.35-0.56-1.41-0.15-0.78-0.72-0.66-0.60-0.55
Capital Expenditure (%)

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 7.35
Beta 1.135
Diluted Shares Outstanding 5.24
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate -76.87
After-tax Cost of Debt 5.00%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 11.493
Total Debt 0.92
Total Equity 38.54
Total Capital 39.47
Debt Weighting 2.34
Equity Weighting 97.66
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash

Year
A/P
2013
Actual
2014
Actual
2015
Actual
2016
Actual
2017
Actual
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Projected
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
Revenue 26.2923.0515.2214.1414.5214.5614.7313.1712.0511.0210.089.228.43
EBITDA -10.42-6.600.951.202.702.772.631.570.210.190.170.160.15
EBIT -12.64-8.690.200.812.1221.830.61-0.50-0.46-0.42-0.38-0.35
Tax Rate -32.91%1.76%873.57%-3.78%3.93%-0.54%-282.24%-76.87%60.37%60.37%60.37%60.37%60.37%
EBIAT -16.80-8.54-1.550.842.042.0171.08-0.20-0.18-0.17-0.15-0.14
Depreciation 2.232.090.750.390.580.770.800.960.710.650.600.540.50
Accounts Receivable -1.031.160.05-0.33-0.490.700.87-0.260.220.200.180.16
Inventories -1.361.590.51-0.19-0.950.510.0100.070.060.050.05
Accounts Payable -0.91-1.80-1.260.310.31-0.510.170.23-0.07-0.06-0.06-0.05
Capital Expenditure -1.09-0.49-1.36-1.84-1.35-0.56-1.41-0.15-0.78-0.72-0.66-0.60-0.55
UFCF -15.66-3.65-1.22-1.311.051.097.092.93-0.29-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.03
WACC
PV UFCF -0.24-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01
SUM PV UFCF -0.35

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 11.34
Free cash flow (t + 1) -0.03
Terminal Value -0.37
Present Value of Terminal Value -0.22

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value -0.57
Net Debt -7.68
Equity Value 7.12
Shares Outstanding 5.24
Equity Value Per Share 1.36